Reports – FC – Sensitivity


Forecast Summary   –   Charts   –   Alt Views   –   BPA Slice Forecast   –   Demand   –   Generation   –   Transmission   –   Product   –   Power Forecasts


Access the Live Data Now

All forecasts are wrong!  There, we said it, but there is also a way to make forecasts less wrong, and that is to make multiple tests around your key assumptions.  Ansergy performs 11 cases on each forecast period and summarizes these in an easy to read chart

000_FC_Sens0

Each case adjusts Net Demand up or down 500 MW and returns the price associated with that case.  The chart easily shows the relative sensitivity of that hub to those tests.

000_FC_Sens0a

Ansergy provides three metrics to measure forecast risk:

  • Power Price
  • Heat Rate
  • Reserve Margin

000_FC_Sens0b

Downloading the data is just two clicks away.

Power Hubs

hubcode hubname hubshort hubaltmap wpname gashub
mc Mid-C Mid-C mc Mid-C ngmc
np NP15 NP15 np NP15 ngnp
sp SP15 SP15 sp SP15 ngsp
pv Palo Verde Palo pv Palo Verde ngpv
gb Great Basin GB gb Great Basin nggb
rm Rockies RM rm Rockies ngrm
zp ZP26 ZP sp ZP26 npnp
sp-mc SP15 – MidC sp-mc   SP15 – MidC  
np-mc NP15 – MidC np-mc   NP15 – MidC  
sp-np SP15 – NP15 sp-np   SP15 – NP15  
sp-pv SP15 – Palo sp-pv   SP15 – Palo  
bc BC Hydro BC bc BC Hydro

 

Ansergy Forecast Items

Ansergy Forecast Items
Power Hub Forecast Item Metric Data Options
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